Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.326993 5.799359 6.326647 6.965828 7.729545 8.626186 9.779782
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.848313 5.478781 6.234030 7.229367 8.547024 10.299358 12.945260
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.492689 5.231429 6.169714 7.501179 9.445704 12.397126 17.816650
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.302885 5.159556 6.313658 8.086373 10.988693 16.226071 29.362140
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.910813 4.771020 5.971736 7.911055 11.343863 18.419056 42.468033
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.726298 4.644166 5.984177 8.297414 12.873408 24.577933 107.208576
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.533366 4.482626 5.922271 8.559462 14.369606 33.446851 2933.486490
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.278685 4.203487 5.638542 8.366609 14.825983 40.688998 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.037064 3.922332 5.318371 8.044212 14.860148 47.317853 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.987382 3.931056 5.482796 8.739289 18.290126 110.493822 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.026147 4.084102 5.927880 10.235964 26.963098 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.968898 4.073409 6.074649 11.125810 36.236808 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.788913 3.858258 5.834620 11.033025 41.195362 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.635213 3.675258 5.635587 11.013740 48.373031 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.503460 3.519404 5.472059 11.066207 59.301436 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.425928 3.453425 5.490859 11.765801 98.551920 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.272246 3.235879 5.148496 11.052433 94.204618 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.194589 3.152584 5.096281 11.426769 162.863640 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.113157 3.055434 4.999340 11.603095 320.328607 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.005063 2.900399 4.749527 11.049387 324.387384 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.899250 2.743849 4.482510 10.356542 256.149567 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.875219 2.740888 4.577509 11.297527 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.890006 2.814021 4.872826 13.546249 NaN NaN NaN